Lotto Pick HQ · Number Lab

Detailed Analytics: Mega Millions

Oct 2017 – Aug 2026 · 921 draws analyzed

Draws analyzed

921

historical results

Hottest ball

10

drawn 86 times

Most overdue

8

49 draws out

Avg winning sum

174

across 5 white balls

White-ball frequency

How often each main number has been drawn in official records.

cold → hot

Hot / cold heatmap

Every number shaded by draw frequency. Warmer shades indicate higher frequencies.

Overdue numbers

Number of draws elapsed since each ball was last selected.

Sum distribution

Distribution of the sum of 5 white balls per drawing.

Mega Ball frequency

Distribution of the bonus ball unique to this lottery game.

Top number pairs

Pairings of white balls that have appeared together most frequently.

Average sum over time

Monthly historical trend of winning number sums.

Reading the Mega Millions frequency table

The table below lists every white ball in the Mega Millions pool (1–70) with three figures: how many times it has been drawn across 921 official drawings (Oct 2017 – Aug 2026), how that count compares with the number of appearances chance alone would produce, and how many drawings have passed since the ball was last selected.

Because five white balls are drawn each time, every ball would appear about 65.8 times over this many drawings if the game were perfectly even. It never is, and it is not supposed to be. Random sampling produces spread. For a run of this length the expected standard deviation is roughly ±7.8 draws, so counts scattered within about 16 of the average in either direction are entirely ordinary.

Right now the gap between the most-drawn ball (10, at 86 appearances) and the least-drawn ball (51, at 51) is 35 draws. That looks like a meaningful difference and it is not: it is the ordinary spread you get from 921 independent trials. The mechanism that selects the balls has no memory of any of it.

Mega Millions white-ball draw frequency and current gap — 921 drawings, Oct 2017 – Aug 2026.
Ball Times drawn Share of draws vs. expected Draws since last seen
1 63 6.8% -2.8 1
2 64 6.9% -1.8 9
3 78 8.5% +12.2 3
4 67 7.3% +1.2 7
5 59 6.4% -6.8 2
6 64 6.9% -1.8 47
7 62 6.7% -3.8 0
8 73 7.9% +7.2 49
9 57 6.2% -8.8 15
10 86 9.3% +20.2 0
11 74 8.0% +8.2 45
12 60 6.5% -5.8 20
13 65 7.1% -0.8 17
14 77 8.4% +11.2 6
15 69 7.5% +3.2 24
16 66 7.2% +0.2 19
17 82 8.9% +16.2 5
18 73 7.9% +7.2 7
19 70 7.6% +4.2 2
20 73 7.9% +7.2 4
21 62 6.7% -3.8 6
22 73 7.9% +7.2 11
23 55 6.0% -10.8 3
24 71 7.7% +5.2 21
25 64 6.9% -1.8 1
26 69 7.5% +3.2 7
27 66 7.2% +0.2 3
28 61 6.6% -4.8 43
29 68 7.4% +2.2 15
30 70 7.6% +4.2 2
31 80 8.7% +14.2 14
32 60 6.5% -5.8 5
33 68 7.4% +2.2 17
34 64 6.9% -1.8 1
35 56 6.1% -9.8 14
36 56 6.1% -9.8 14
37 63 6.8% -2.8 10
38 77 8.4% +11.2 2
39 64 6.9% -1.8 13
40 71 7.7% +5.2 22
41 58 6.3% -7.8 16
42 77 8.4% +11.2 9
43 75 8.1% +9.2 7
44 66 7.2% +0.2 9
45 53 5.8% -12.8 11
46 73 7.9% +7.2 3
47 59 6.4% -6.8 0
48 71 7.7% +5.2 0
49 58 6.3% -7.8 8
50 56 6.1% -9.8 0
51 51 5.5% -14.8 6
52 67 7.3% +1.2 17
53 63 6.8% -2.8 16
54 58 6.3% -7.8 5
55 59 6.4% -6.8 6
56 67 7.3% +1.2 12
57 64 6.9% -1.8 1
58 73 7.9% +7.2 31
59 70 7.6% +4.2 2
60 58 6.3% -7.8 3
61 64 6.9% -1.8 27
62 68 7.4% +2.2 16
63 62 6.7% -3.8 14
64 72 7.8% +6.2 28
65 53 5.8% -12.8 6
66 73 7.9% +7.2 18
67 52 5.6% -13.8 20
68 59 6.4% -6.8 4
69 62 6.7% -3.8 38
70 64 6.9% -1.8 8

Figures update automatically after each official drawing is published. See where this data comes from and how each column is calculated.

What each chart on this page shows

White-ball frequency

A straight count of appearances per number. It answers a factual question about the past — which balls have come up most often in the recorded history of this game — and nothing about the next drawing. Tall bars are not "due to keep going" and short bars are not "due to catch up."

Hot / cold heatmap

The same counts rendered as a grid so you can see the distribution at a glance instead of reading 70 individual bars. Colour intensity maps to frequency. The visual clustering that appears in these grids is a normal property of random data, not a pattern in the machine.

Overdue numbers

The count of drawings since each ball last appeared. This is the statistic most often misread. A ball that has been absent for 49 drawings — currently number 8 — has exactly the same chance of being drawn next time as a ball that appeared yesterday. There is no corrective force in a lottery machine.

Sum distribution

The total of the five white balls in each drawing, plotted as a distribution. It clusters around 174 for a structural reason: there are far more ways to build a middling total from five distinct numbers than to build an extreme one. This says something real about combinatorics and nothing about which specific line will be drawn.

Mega Ball frequency

The bonus ball is drawn from a separate pool of 1–24, independently of the white balls. Its counts are tracked separately for that reason.

One wrinkle worth knowing: the Mega Ball pool was reduced from 25 numbers to 24 in the game change that took effect with the 8 April 2025 drawing, alongside a price rise from $2 to $5 and a multiplier built into every play. Draws before that date could and did produce a Mega Ball of 25, so you will see a 25 in the historical record here. It is a real result under the rules of its time — but it cannot be drawn again, and Smart Picks will never suggest it. Jackpot odds moved from 1 in 302,575,350 to 1 in 290,472,336 as a result.

Top number pairs

Which two white balls have most often appeared in the same drawing. Some pair will always lead this list — that is arithmetic, not affinity. Pairs do not travel together.

Average sum over time

The monthly average of winning-line sums. The line wanders around the long-run average and keeps returning to it, which is what regression toward the mean looks like when nothing is steering the process.

Common questions about Mega Millions statistics

Does picking hot numbers improve my chances?

No. Every valid combination in a Mega Millions drawing has an identical probability. Choosing balls by past frequency changes which combination is on your ticket; it does not change the odds that your combination is drawn.

Then why publish the data at all?

Because the record is genuinely interesting, and because seeing the actual spread is the fastest cure for believing in patterns. The numbers on this page consistently show that draw history looks exactly like random data — uneven, clustered, and completely unpredictable.

How current is this?

The table reflects 921 drawings through Aug 25, 2026. Records are imported from official public sources after each drawing is certified.

Can I use this to build a system?

You can build one. It will not work. Any selection method — frequency-weighted, overdue, birthday, quick pick, or a line you have played for thirty years — produces a ticket with the same published odds. The only decision on this page that affects your outcome in any durable way is how much you choose to spend. Set that limit first; see responsible play.